The Nevada Wolf Pack (11-2) clash with the San Francisco Dons (7-5) at Orleans Arena. The game starts at 11 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 23, 2017.
San Francisco Dons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack ATS Prediction
In the Dons’ last outing, they were beaten by the Duquesne Dukes, 67-65. Duquesne’s 0.250 free throw rate was their largest strength over San Francisco, who had a mark of 0.185. The Dukes’ mark was below their season average of 0.273, while the Dons’ was below their season average of 0.245. Matt McCarthy led San Francisco in scoring with 19 points on 8-for-12 shooting.
The Wolf Pack won big over the Southern Illinois Salukis in their last matchup, 86-64. Nevada’s offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over Southern Illinois. The Wolf Pack had a rate of 37.0 (above their season average of 26.9), while the Salukis posted a mark of 16.2 (below their season average of 26.9). Caleb Martin was the top scorer from either team with 19 points on 7-for-10 shooting.
This showdown pits one of the nation’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses as Nevada ranks 22nd in effective field goal percentage (0.577) and San Francisco is 56th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.465).
San Francisco comes into the game with records of 7-5 straight up (SU) and 2-5 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Dons are involved, as four of their 7 games have finished over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Nevada owns records of 11-2 SU and 7-3-1 ATS. Coinciding with San Francisco, games including the Wolf Pack also have typically finished over the total (72.7 percent).
San Francisco Dons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – San Francisco, ATS Winner – San Francisco, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Nevada ranks 21st in assists per game (17.9) while San Francisco ranks 164th (13.1).
The Dons rank 44th in three pointers attempted per game (26.1) while the Wolf Pack rank 120th (22.8).
Nevada ranks 26th in blocks allowed per game (2.4) while San Francisco ranks 96th (3.5).
The Wolf Pack average 37.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 102nd in the NCAA. The Dons rank 156th in rebounds allowed per game (35.5).
Nevada allows the 22nd-fewest steals per game (4.9) while San Francisco ranks 56th (5.7).
Bettings Trends:
The Dons’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.0, up from 2.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Wolf Pack have scored an average of 81.4 points per game (2.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 73.0 points per game (3.6 above their season average).
