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San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Free Preview 09/19/18

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants will face their divisional rival San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will televise the action.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Odds

Oddsmakers have listed San Francisco (+115) as the underdog to San Diego (-125). Gamblers are able to bet on the game’s total with odds sitting at even money (+100) for over 7.5 runs and -120 for under 7.5. Runline odds stand at -180 for taking the Giants +1.5 runs and +160 for the Padres -1.5.

The Padres are 60-92 straight up (SU) and 72-79 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 14.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 29.4 units (ATS). The Giants are 72-80 SU and have gone 83-68 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 10.8 units ATS.

San Diego games have an over/under record of 72-74-5 in 2018. The Giants have been a great under bet with a total record of 61-84-6.

Chris Stratton will get the start for San Francisco. The right-handed Stratton is 10-9 with a 4.66 ERA and 104 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with seven strikeouts and a 1.38 ERA against San Diego this year (two starts).

The Padres are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Robbie Erlin (3-7, 4.27 ERA), who’s got 81 strikeouts and 10 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.14. Erlin is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA against San Francisco this year.

San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.91 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.17 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.58, along with a WHIP of 1.30 and a K-per-9 of 8.81.

Giants hitters have slashed .241/.305/.373 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen continue to lead San Francisco’s hitters. Crawford is slashing .255/.321/.395 with 13 home runs, 52 RBIs and 59 runs scored. McCutchen (.255/.357/.415) has produced 15 homers, 55 RBIs, 65 runs and 13 stolen bases.

In the home-team dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.15, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 3.52 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In 66 divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.52 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.32.

San Diego’s hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .224/.328/.378 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis have led the Padres’ offense this year. Hosmer is slashing .249/.313/.397 with 17 home runs, 65 RBIs and 69 runs scored, and the line for Galvis stands at .238/.292/.361 with 11 homers, 61 RBIs and 55 runs.

The Giants have gained 1.1 units and are 32-26 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 26 of those games, as opposed to 30 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 0.1 units and are 53-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 44 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve gone under.

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in zero of San Francisco’s last seven games.

The Giants have won four of their last five games SU while the Padres have lost four of their last five.

San Francisco has posted 17.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.8 over its last five.

The Giants have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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