Raptors at Nets
Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto Raptors vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Preview 03/13/18

The Toronto Raptors (49-17) put their eight-game winning streak on the line when they go head-to-head against the Brooklyn Nets (21-46) at Barclays Center. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 13, 2018, and will air on YES Network.

Toronto is a 10-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 219 points.

Toronto Raptors vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Prediction

The last time the Raptors played, they blew out the New York Knicks, 132-106. The Raptors had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 32.6 (above their season average of 22.8) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.591 (above their season average of 0.536). Toronto rallied around Kyle Lowry, who recorded 16 points and seven assists.

The Nets lost big to the Philadelphia 76ers in their last contest, 120-97. Philadelphia’s turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Brooklyn. The 76ers had a rate of 8.0 (better than their season average of 14.8), while the Nets posted a mark of 15.9 (above the 12.2 mark opponents have averaged against Philadelphia this season). Brooklyn’s D’Angelo Russell had a good performance, leading both teams in scoring with 26 points on 9-for-17 shooting.

The inefficient offense of Brooklyn (24th in the league with an offensive efficiency of 104.4) will battle against the stingy defense of Toronto (fourth in the league with a defensive efficiency of 103.2). The Raptors figure to have the edge on that side of the ball. Furthermore, the Raptors rank fourth in turnover percentage (12.6 percent), while the Nets rank 30th in opponents’ turnover percentage (11.9 percent).

Toronto comes into the game with records of 49-17 straight up (SU) and 38-28 against the spread (ATS). Of the Raptors’ 66 games, 34 have finished over the projected point total.

Brooklyn is 38-28-1 ATS, despite being 21-46 SU. Vegas tends to place the total high when the Nets are involved, as 37 of their 66 games have gone under the O/U total.

Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 14.6 points, 9.0 rebounds and 1.6 blocks over the last five games for Toronto.

The Raptors have emerged victorious in both matchups against the Nets this year, including a close 114-113 victory the last time these teams met. Toronto was unable to cover as a 7.5-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 227 points, which was 9.5 points above the projected point total of 217.5 points. Toronto had a better effective field goal percentage (0.475 vs. 0.450). Brooklyn, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (20.4 vs. 15.4). Spencer Dinwiddie had a standout performance in the game, producing 31 points, eight assists and five rebounds.

Toronto Raptors vs. Brooklyn Nets Odds Pick

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

Toronto is 19-14 ATS on the road with 19 overs and 14 unders.

Brooklyn is 16-15-1 ATS at home with 19 unders and 13 overs.

When allowing less than 100 points, Brooklyn is 12-1 and Toronto is 23-5.

When reaching 100 points, the Raptors are 46-10 and the Nets are 17-30.

Toronto ranks second in blocks per game (6.0) while Brooklyn ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (5.8).

The Raptors rank fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.2) while the Nets rank last (14.4).

Toronto ranks eighth in steals per game (8.1) while Brooklyn ranks 29th (6.2).

The Raptors average 48.2 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Nets rank 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (46.3).

Toronto ranks 15th in rebounds allowed per game (42.8) while Brooklyn ranks last (46.3).

The Raptors rank 14th in second chance points per game (12.8) while the Nets rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4).

Toronto averages 32.9 three pointers per game, which ranks third in the league. Brooklyn ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (24.6).

The Raptors average 13.8 fast break points per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Nets rank ninth in fast break points allowed per game (10.9).

Bettings Trends:

In their last five games, Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

Brooklyn is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.

The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.4, up from 8.8 for the season.

During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 110.8 points per game (4.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.8 points per game (6.7 above their season average).

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