The Phoenix Suns (4-19) will attempt to snap their five-game losing streak when they meet the Sacramento Kings (11-11) at Talking Stick Resort Arena. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 4, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Arizona.
Sacramento opened as a 6-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 226 points.
Sacramento Kings at Phoenix Suns Free Prediction
In the Kings’ last game, they narrowly defeated the Indiana Pacers, 111-110, as 1.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (221) finished under the O/U total of 225. The Kings had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 28.0 (above their season average of 21.9), while the Pacers had a turnover percentage of 21.8 (above their season average of 12.9). Willie Cauley-Stein fueled Sacramento with 17 points and 13 rebounds.
The Suns were blown out by the Los Angeles Lakers in their last outing, 120-96. They failed to cover as 12-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (216) finished under the projected point total of 221. Los Angeles’ free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Phoenix. The Lakers had a rate of 0.185 (above their season average of 0.179), while the Suns posted a mark of 0.097 (below their season average of 0.178). Phoenix’s Trevor Ariza recorded 13 points and nine rebounds in the contest.
After the Suns won three out of four contests against the Kings last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent contest, Phoenix won 97-94. One of Phoenix’s biggest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They made 33 trips to the line, while Sacramento went 23 times.
Sacramento comes into the contest with records of 11-11 straight up (SU) and 13-9 against the spread (ATS). Of the Kings’ 22 games, 14 have finished over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Phoenix owns records of 4-19 SU and 8-15 ATS. Contrary to Sacramento, Suns games tend to go under the total (60.9 percent).
Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 18 points,3.6 assists over the last five games for Sacramento.
This has potential to be an error-filled game for the offense of Phoenix. Phoenix ranks 29th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.7 percent), while the gambling defense of Sacramento forces the sixth-most turnovers in the league (15.1 percent).
Sacramento Kings vs. Phoenix Suns Odds Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Sacramento is 6-5 ATS on the road with 10 overs and 1 under.
At home, Phoenix is 5-6 ATS with 8 unders and 3 overs.
Sacramento is 3-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Phoenix is 1-1.
The Kings are 10-10 when they reach 100 points, while the Suns are 4-10.
Sacramento ranks first in fast break points per game (21.8) while Phoenix ranks last in fast break points allowed per game (17.3).
The Kings average 20.5 points off turnovers per game, which ranks second in the league. The Suns rank 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.1).
Sacramento ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (53.8) while Phoenix ranks 29th in points allowed in the paint per game (53.3).
The Suns rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (28.5) while the Kings rank 28th (35.1).
Sacramento averages 24.8 assists per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Phoenix ranks 25th in assists allowed per game (25.3).
The Kings average 8.181818181818182 steals per game, which ranks 11 in the NBA. The Suns rank 25 in steals allowed per game (9.304347826086957).
Sacramento ranks 15 in rebounds per game (45.36363636363637) while Phoenix ranks 29 (39.78260869565217).
The Kings rank 19 in second chance points per game (12.727272727272727) while the Suns rank 28 (9.608695652173912).
Sacramento ranks 24 in blocks per game (4.363636363636363) while Phoenix ranks 25 (4.130434782608695).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five outings, Sacramento is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Phoenix is 0-5 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.8, up from 2.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 98.2 points per game (4.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.2 points per game (1.5 below their season average).
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