It will be a battle between Southeast Division opponents when the Atlanta Hawks (5-19) welcome the Washington Wizards (10-14) to State Farm Arena. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 5, 2018.
Washington opened as a 5.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 234 points.
Washington Wizards at Atlanta Hawks Free Prediction
The Wizards come in on a high note after covering the 2.5-point spread against the New York Knicks in their last contest, 110-107. The total points for the game (217) came in under the projected point total of 229. Washington’s 9.3 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over New York, who had a rate of 13.5. The Wizards’ mark was better than their season average of 12.1. Washington was lifted by Bradley Beal, who was the top scorer from either team with 27 points on 12-for-25 shooting.
In the Hawks’ last game, they lost to the Golden State Warriors, 128-111. They were not able to cover as 11-point underdogs. The total points for the game (239) finished over the O/U total of 235.5. Golden State’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Atlanta. The Warriors had a rate of 0.665 (above their season average of 0.556), while the Hawks posted a mark of 0.517. With 24 points on 11-for-14 shooting, John Collins led Atlanta in scoring.
After splitting four games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last contest, the Hawks won 103-97. Atlanta’s 0.551 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Washington, who had a rate of 0.454.
Washington heads into the contest with records of 10-14 straight up (SU) and 9-14-1 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Wizards have typically finished over the total (58.3 percent).
Meanwhile, Atlanta is 5-19 SU and 9-15 ATS. Games including the Hawks also tend to finish over the O/U total (58.3 percent).
Collins has averaged 17 points,8.6 rebounds over the last five games for Atlanta.
It could be a mistake-prone game for the Atlanta offense. Atlanta ranks 30th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 16.6 percent), while the disruptive defense of Washington forces the fifth-most turnovers in the NBA (15.4 percent).
Washington Wizards vs. Atlanta Hawks Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Washington is 3-9 ATS with 6 overs and 6 unders.
Atlanta is 3-8 ATS at home with 7 overs and 4 unders.
In contests where they hold opponents below 100 points, Washington is 3-0 and Atlanta is 0-2.
When scoring over 100 points, the Wizards are 10-12 and the Hawks are 5-13.
Washington ranks fifth in points off turnovers per game (19.1) while Atlanta ranks last in points off turnovers allowed per game (22.9).
The Hawks rank fourth in fast break points per game (17.0) while the Wizards rank 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.7).
Atlanta ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (35.3) while Washington ranks 22nd in three pointers allowed per game (32.8).
The Wizards rank eighth in steals per game (8.6) while the Hawks rank 25th in steals allowed per game (10.3).
Washington ranks fourth in blocks per game (6.2) while Atlanta ranks 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
The Wizards rank 14 in assists per game (23.833333333333332) while the Hawks rank 28 in assists allowed per game (27.375).
Atlanta ranks 22 in rebounds per game (43.541666666666664) while Washington ranks 29 in rebounds allowed per game (48.75).
The Wizards average 11.916666666666666 second chance points per game, which ranks 26 in the NBA. The Hawks rank 29 in second chance points allowed per game (15.833333333333334).
Atlanta averages 50 points in the paint per game, which ranks 9 in the league. Washington ranks 11 in points allowed in the paint per game (47.583333333333336).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five contests, Washington is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Atlanta is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.0, down from 5.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 110.6 points per game (3.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 119.2 points per game (0.7 above their season average).
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