The Washington Wizards (6-12) square off against the New Orleans Pelicans (10-9) at Capital One Arena. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 24, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – New Orleans.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 240 points with New Orleans opening as a 2-point favorite.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Washington Wizards Betting Prediction
In the Pelicans’ last outing, they were defeated by the New York Knicks, 114-109, and were not able to cover as 3-point underdogs. The game’s total points (223) came in well under the O/U total of 238. New York’s 7.2 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over New Orleans, who had a mark of 10.3. The Knicks’ mark was better than their season average of 12.7. Anthony Davis was the top scorer from either team with 33 points on 12-for-19 shooting.
The Wizards were blown out by the Toronto Raptors in their last outing, 125-107. They were unable to cover as 1-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (232) finished just under the O/U total of 234.5. Toronto’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Washington. The Raptors had a rate of 0.586 (above their season average of 0.548), while the Wizards posted a mark of 0.441 (below their season average of 0.511). Washington’s Bradley Beal had a good performance, leading the team in scoring with 20 points on 7-for-16 shooting.
After the Wizards won both meetings against the Pelicans last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last game, Washington won 116-97. The Wizards had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (21.7 vs. 4.9) and had a better turnover percentage (10.3 vs. 14.3).
New Orleans heads into the contest with records of 10-9 straight up (SU) and 9-9 against the spread (ATS). Pelicans games have typically finished over the O/U total (61.1 percent).
Meanwhile, Washington is 6-12 SU and 5-11-1 ATS. Coinciding with New Orleans, Wizards games also have typically finished over the projected point total (64.7 percent).
Julius Randle has averaged 17 points,9.6 rebounds,3.6 assists over the last five games for New Orleans.
New Orleans could have a difficult time creating turnovers. Washington ranks sixth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.0 percent), while New Orleans forces the fifth-fewest turnovers (12.4 percent). Furthermore, the Pelicans’ fourth-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 111.4) will try to exploit the Wizards’ 29th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 111.5).
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Washington Wizards Betting Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, New Orleans is 4-5 ATS with 6 overs and 3 unders.
Washington is 3-5-1 ATS at home with 6 overs and 3 unders.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Washington and New Orleans are both 2-0.
The Wizards are 6-11 when they score more than 100 points, while the Pelicans are 10-8.
New Orleans averages 27.2 assists per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Washington ranks 29th in assists allowed per game (26.1).
The Pelicans rank first in second chance points per game (17.8) while the Wizards rank 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (15.2).
New Orleans ranks third in rebounds per game (48.6) while Washington ranks 25th (41.4).
The Wizards rank eighth in points allowed in the paint per game (47.0) while the Pelicans rank 25th (51.4).
Washington ranks ninth in fast break points per game (15.5) while New Orleans ranks 26th in fast break points allowed per game (16.4).
The Wizards average 6.444444444444445 blocks per game, which ranks 2 in the league. The Pelicans rank 17 in blocks allowed per game (5.368421052631579).
Washington ranks 10 in steals per game (8.333333333333334) while New Orleans ranks 23 in steals allowed per game (8.578947368421053).
The Wizards rank 9 in three pointers attempted per game (33.111111111111114) while the Pelicans rank 22 in three pointers allowed per game (32.63157894736842).
Washington averages 19.77777777777778 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 6 in the league. New Orleans ranks 8 in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.68421052631579).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five contests, New Orleans is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Washington is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Pelicans’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.6, up from 2.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 112.8 points per game (1.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.4 points per game (3.0 below their season average).
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